CME ScoreBoard Header

CME Scoreboard

CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2015-08-22T07:24:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2015-08-22T07:24Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/9157/-1
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
----

Predicted Arrival Time: 2015-08-24T06:00Z (-10.0h, +10.0h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 70.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 6.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)
Prediction Method Note:

Time at 21.5Rs boundary: 2015-08-22 10:00Z
Radial velocity (km/s): 1150
Longitude (deg): E15
Latitude (deg): S01
Half-angular width (deg): 41

Notes: Difficult to analyse due to faint images. it is likely this CME will merge with the previous one en route to Earth. It may also become entrained into the CH HSS from coronal hole 91 and associated CIR.

Lead Time: 24.25 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Met Office (Met Office) on 2015-08-23T05:45Z

CME Scoreboard Footer

CCMC Rules of the Road: CCMC requests that users notify the CCMC, CME model/technique developers and submitting forecasters/researchers before performing event and validation studies with data from the CME Arrival Time Scoreboard. It is recommended that such studies be performed with the knowledge and collaboration of developers and submitting forecasters/researchers.

If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (https://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.

Curator: Chiu Wiegand | NASA Official: Dr. Masha Kuznetsova | Privacy and Security Notices | Accessibility | CCMC Data Policy